La Liga · Mar 03, 2024 15:15
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
Real Betis
PWR 39
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
2 - 1
FT
Real Betis
PWR 39
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
Atlético Madrid Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (30%)
0-1 (18%)
1-0 (18%)
1-1 (11%)
0-2 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGFORM_MISMATCH
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (6 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack49
Defense62
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.3
Atlético Madrid Form
LLLDW
DOWN
Real Betis Form
WDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.512%
BTTS21%
Under 2.588%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Real Betis Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Atlético Madridvs
0.61
Real BetisDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings75%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Atlético Ma…+2
Gap#5
Real Betis
WR 91% 45 pts
WR 18% 35 pts
Atlético Madrid
6.0%
| Feb 29 | Atlétic… v Athleti… | 3-0 |
| Feb 20 | Atlétic… v Inter | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Atlétic… v Athleti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Atlétic… v Real Ma… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Atlétic… v Valencia | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Atlétic… v Sevilla… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Atlétic… v Real Ma… | 4-2 |
| Jan 10 | Atlétic… v Real Ma… | 5-3 |
| Jan 03 | Atlétic… v Girona | 4-3 |
| Dec 16 | Atlétic… v Athleti… | 2-0 |
Real Betis
10.0%
| Feb 25 | Real Be… v Ath Bil… | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | Real Be… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Real Be… v Alavés | 0-0 |
| Feb 18 | Real Be… v Alavés | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Real Be… v Dinamo … | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | Real Be… v Cadiz | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Real Be… v Getafe | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Real Be… v Getafe | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Real Be… v Mallorca | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | Real Be… v FC Barc… | 2-4 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Aug 20, 2023 | Real Betis | 0-0 | Atlético Madr… |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Atlético Madr… | 1-0 | Real Betis |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Real Betis | 1-2 | Atlético Madr… |
| Mar 06, 2022 | Real Betis | 1-3 | Atlético Madr… |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Atlético Madr… | 3-0 | Real Betis |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Real Betis | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
Key Factors
Atlético Madrid struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.