La Liga · Apr 02, 2023 19:00

Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
1 - 0
FT

Real Betis
PWR 39
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Atlético Madrid to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy56%
HOME_FORMDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack49
Defense62
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.3
Atlético Madrid Form WWWWL
UP
Real Betis Form DDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS30%
Under 2.555%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Real Betis Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Atlético Madrid
vs
0.42
Real Betis
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Atlético Ma…
+2
Gap
#5
Real Betis
WR 83% 45 pts WR 25% 38 pts
Atlético Madrid 16.0%
Mar 18 Atlétic… v Valencia 3-0
Mar 13 Atlétic… v Girona 0-1
Feb 19 Atlétic… v Athleti… 1-0
Jan 18 Atlétic… v Levante 0-2
Jan 08 Atlétic… v FC Barc… 0-1
Jan 04 Atlétic… v Oviedo 0-2
Nov 09 Atlétic… v Mallorca 1-0
Oct 23 Atlétic… v Real Be… 1-2
Oct 15 Atlétic… v Athleti… 0-1
Oct 08 Atlétic… v Girona 2-1
Real Betis 12.0%
Mar 12 Real Be… v Villarr… 1-1
Mar 05 Real Be… v Real Ma… 0-0
Feb 24 Real Be… v Elche 2-3
Feb 01 Real Be… v FC Barc… 1-2
Jan 28 Real Be… v Getafe 0-1
Jan 12 Real Be… v FC Barc… 2-2
Jan 08 Real Be… v Rayo Va… 1-2
Nov 10 Real Be… v Valencia 3-0
Nov 06 Real Be… v Sevilla… 1-1
Oct 23 Real Be… v Atlétic… 1-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 23, 2022 Real Betis 1-2 Atlético Madr…
Mar 06, 2022 Real Betis 1-3 Atlético Madr…
Oct 31, 2021 Atlético Madr… 3-0 Real Betis
Apr 11, 2021 Real Betis 1-1 Atlético Madr…
Key Factors
Atlético Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.