AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Maranhense Feb 11, 2026

Moto Club de São Luís

Home
VS
22:30

IAPE

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Moto Club de São Luís Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
IAPE Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.75 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moto Club de São Luís Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
IAPE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Moto Club de São Luís Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Moto Club… vs Tuntum 2-2
Jan 28 Moto Club… vs Imperatriz 2-0
Jan 25 Moto Club… vs IAPE 0-1
Jan 21 Moto Club… vs Sampaio C… 0-0
Jan 18 Moto Club… vs Luminense 0-3
Jan 14 Moto Club… vs ITZ Sport 1-1
Jan 11 Moto Club… vs Maranhão … 1-1
Apr 23 Moto Club… vs Imperatriz 0-1
Apr 12 Moto Club… vs Tuntum 2-0
Apr 09 Moto Club… vs IAPE 2-0
IAPE Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 IAPE vs Imperatriz 0-0
Jan 28 IAPE vs Maranhão … 1-0
Jan 25 IAPE vs Moto Club… 0-1
Jan 22 IAPE vs Luminense 0-1
Jan 18 IAPE vs Tuntum 2-1
Jan 14 IAPE vs Sampaio C… 0-0
Jan 11 IAPE vs ITZ Sport 1-0
May 07 IAPE vs Maranhão … 1-0
Apr 30 IAPE vs Maranhão … 4-0
Apr 13 IAPE vs Maranhão … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • IAPE in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 25, 2026 Moto Club de São Lu… 0 - 1 IAPE Maranhense
Apr 09, 2025 IAPE 2 - 0 Moto Club de São Lu… Maranhense
Feb 25, 2025 Moto Club de São Lu… 1 - 0 IAPE Maranhense
Feb 25, 2023 IAPE 0 - 3 Moto Club de São Lu… Maranhense
Apr 02, 2022 Moto Club de São Lu… 0 - 1 IAPE Maranhense
Mar 02, 2021 IAPE 0 - 2 Moto Club de São Lu… Maranhense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Moto Club de São Luís to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moto Club de São Luís Power 0
IAPE Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Moto Club de São Luís Position

+3

Position Gap

4

IAPE Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.