Iraqi League · Feb 06, 2026 12:00

Baghdad
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Al Minaa Basra
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Baghdad Form DLLDL
STABLE
Al Minaa Basra Form DDDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS39%
Under 2.557%
Baghdad Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Al Minaa Ba… Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Baghdad
vs
0.63
Al Minaa Basra
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Baghdad
+2
Gap
#15
Al Minaa Ba…
WR 30% 19 pts WR 22% 18 pts
Baghdad 4.0%
Jan 31 Baghdad v Erbil 1-1
Jan 26 Baghdad v Gharraf 3-2
Jan 22 Baghdad v Al-Karma 2-1
Jan 18 Baghdad v Al Karkh 1-1
Jan 13 Baghdad v Al Quwa… 0-2
Jan 09 Baghdad v Zakho 2-2
Jan 04 Baghdad v Duhok 1-0
Dec 30 Baghdad v Al Shor… 2-1
Dec 22 Baghdad v Newroz 0-1
Nov 23 Baghdad v Al-Tala… 2-1
Al Minaa Basra 10.0%
Feb 01 Al Mina… v Zakho 1-1
Jan 28 Al Mina… v Naft 0-0
Jan 23 Al Mina… v Al Shor… 1-1
Jan 19 Al Mina… v Al-Tala… 1-2
Jan 14 Al Mina… v Al Karkh 0-2
Jan 09 Al Mina… v Duhok 1-0
Jan 05 Al Mina… v Al Kahr… 1-2
Jan 01 Al Mina… v Newroz 1-1
Dec 28 Al Mina… v Al Zawr… 2-0
Nov 22 Al Mina… v Al-Karma 2-0
Head-to-Head (6)
May 21, 2024 Al Minaa Basra 0-2 Baghdad
Mar 05, 2024 Baghdad 0-1 Al Minaa Basra
May 28, 2022 Baghdad 0-1 Al Minaa Basra
Dec 21, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Baghdad
May 11, 2021 Baghdad 0-1 Al Minaa Basra
Dec 29, 2020 Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Baghdad
Key Factors
Baghdad struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.