Iraqi League · Feb 05, 2026 14:30
Al-Karma
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Al-Talaba
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (29%) 1-0 (21%) 0-1 (15%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Al-Karma Form DWWWW
STABLE
Al-Talaba Form WDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.513%
BTTS21%
Under 2.587%
Al-Karma Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Al-Talaba Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Al-Karma
vs
0.51
Al-Talaba
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings60%
Market46%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Al-Karma
+2
Gap
#6
Al-Talaba
WR 60% 34 pts WR 38% 31 pts
Al-Karma 18.0%
Jan 31 Al-Karma v Al Karkh 1-1
Jan 27 Al-Karma v Newroz 0-1
Jan 22 Al-Karma v Baghdad 2-1
Jan 18 Al-Karma v Mosul 1-3
Jan 13 Al-Karma v Al-Qasi… 1-0
Jan 09 Al-Karma v Al Quwa… 1-0
Jan 05 Al-Karma v Al Najaf 2-0
Dec 31 Al-Karma v Gharraf 0-1
Dec 27 Al-Karma v Zakho 0-0
Nov 22 Al-Karma v Al Mina… 2-0
Al-Talaba 14.0%
Jan 31 Al-Tala… v Gharraf 3-1
Jan 27 Al-Tala… v Diyala 1-1
Jan 23 Al-Tala… v Erbil 0-2
Jan 19 Al-Tala… v Al Mina… 1-2
Jan 14 Al-Tala… v Newroz 0-1
Jan 10 Al-Tala… v Al Kahr… 2-0
Jan 04 Al-Tala… v Al-Qasi… 0-3
Dec 31 Al-Tala… v Mosul 0-0
Dec 26 Al-Tala… v Al Shor… 1-0
Nov 23 Al-Tala… v Baghdad 2-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Apr 12, 2025 Al-Karma 1-1 Al-Talaba
Oct 24, 2024 Al-Talaba 2-0 Al-Karma
Key Factors
Al-Karma in strong form (4W in last 5)
Al-Talaba in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.