Iraqi League · Feb 05, 2026 14:30

Al-Talaba
PWR 35
Al-Karma
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Al-Talaba
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (29%)
1-0 (21%)
0-1 (15%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Al-Karma Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Al-Talaba Form
WDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.513%
BTTS21%
Under 2.587%
Al-Karma Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Al-Talaba Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Al-Karmavs
0.51
Al-TalabaDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings60%
Market46%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Al-Karma+2
Gap#6
Al-Talaba
WR 60% 34 pts
WR 38% 31 pts
Al-Karma
18.0%
| Jan 31 | Al-Karma v Al Karkh | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Al-Karma v Newroz | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Al-Karma v Baghdad | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Al-Karma v Mosul | 1-3 |
| Jan 13 | Al-Karma v Al-Qasi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 09 | Al-Karma v Al Quwa… | 1-0 |
| Jan 05 | Al-Karma v Al Najaf | 2-0 |
| Dec 31 | Al-Karma v Gharraf | 0-1 |
| Dec 27 | Al-Karma v Zakho | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Al-Karma v Al Mina… | 2-0 |
Al-Talaba
14.0%
| Jan 31 | Al-Tala… v Gharraf | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | Al-Tala… v Diyala | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Al-Tala… v Erbil | 0-2 |
| Jan 19 | Al-Tala… v Al Mina… | 1-2 |
| Jan 14 | Al-Tala… v Newroz | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Al-Tala… v Al Kahr… | 2-0 |
| Jan 04 | Al-Tala… v Al-Qasi… | 0-3 |
| Dec 31 | Al-Tala… v Mosul | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | Al-Tala… v Al Shor… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Al-Tala… v Baghdad | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Apr 12, 2025 | Al-Karma | 1-1 | Al-Talaba |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Al-Talaba | 2-0 | Al-Karma |
Key Factors
Al-Karma in strong form (4W in last 5)
Al-Talaba in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.