AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Costa Rica Feb 12, 2026

AD Carmelita

Home
VS
00:00

Deportivo Saprissa

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
AD Carmelita Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Deportivo Saprissa Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 3.56 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.8
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AD Carmelita Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Deportivo Saprissa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
AD Carmelita Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 0-0
Jan 23 AD Carmel… vs Cariari P… 1-1
Jan 19 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 1-0
Nov 30 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 3-2
Nov 23 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 1-2
Nov 16 AD Carmel… vs Santa Ana 2-0
Nov 02 AD Carmel… vs Aserri FC 1-1
Oct 31 AD Carmel… vs Futbol Co… 0-1
Oct 24 AD Carmel… vs CS Uruguay 1-1
Oct 19 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 2-0
Deportivo Saprissa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Deportivo… vs Quepos Ca… 4-1
Jan 29 Deportivo… vs Municipal… 0-0
Jan 29 Deportivo… vs Perez Zel… 3-3
Jan 26 Deportivo… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Jan 25 Deportivo… vs Inter San… 1-1
Jan 23 Deportivo… vs Sporting … 0-1
Jan 18 Deportivo… vs CS Heredi… 2-0
Jan 17 Deportivo… vs AD Cofutpa 3-2
Jan 14 Deportivo… vs Puntarena… 2-2
Dec 21 Deportivo… vs LD Alajue… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AD Carmelita struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AD Carmelita to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AD Carmelita Power 0
Deportivo Saprissa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.