AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Costa Rica Feb 06, 2026

Deportivo Saprissa

Home
VS
02:00

AD Carmelita

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Deportivo Saprissa Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
AD Carmelita Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.07 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Saprissa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
AD Carmelita Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Deportivo Saprissa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Deportivo… vs Quepos Ca… 4-1
Jan 29 Deportivo… vs Municipal… 0-0
Jan 29 Deportivo… vs Perez Zel… 3-3
Jan 26 Deportivo… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Jan 25 Deportivo… vs Inter San… 1-1
Jan 23 Deportivo… vs Sporting … 0-1
Jan 18 Deportivo… vs CS Heredi… 2-0
Jan 17 Deportivo… vs AD Cofutpa 3-2
Jan 14 Deportivo… vs Puntarena… 2-2
Dec 21 Deportivo… vs LD Alajue… 3-1
AD Carmelita Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 0-0
Jan 23 AD Carmel… vs Cariari P… 1-1
Jan 19 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 1-0
Nov 30 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 3-2
Nov 23 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 1-2
Nov 16 AD Carmel… vs Santa Ana 2-0
Nov 02 AD Carmel… vs Aserri FC 1-1
Oct 31 AD Carmel… vs Futbol Co… 0-1
Oct 24 AD Carmel… vs CS Uruguay 1-1
Oct 19 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AD Carmelita struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Saprissa to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Saprissa Power 0
AD Carmelita Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.