Iraqi League · Apr 12, 2025 14:00
Al-Karma
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Al-Talaba
PWR 35
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Karma to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (34%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Al-Karma Form WWWLW
UP
Al-Talaba Form WLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.59%
BTTS11%
Under 2.591%
Al-Karma Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Al-Talaba Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Al-Karma
vs
0.20
Al-Talaba
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings60%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Al-Karma
+2
Gap
#6
Al-Talaba
WR 60% 34 pts WR 38% 31 pts
Al-Karma 16.0%
Mar 04 Al-Karma v Newroz 2-0
Feb 15 Al-Karma v Al Quwa… 2-1
Feb 08 Al-Karma v Al Mina… 0-2
Jan 23 Al-Karma v Al Karkh 0-1
Dec 12 Al-Karma v Al Quwa… 1-0
Dec 01 Al-Karma v Zakho 1-0
Nov 06 Al-Karma v Newroz 1-3
Nov 01 Al-Karma v Al-Qasi… 1-0
Oct 24 Al-Karma v Al-Tala… 2-0
Al-Talaba 10.0%
Mar 14 Al-Tala… v Newroz 3-1
Mar 04 Al-Tala… v Al Shor… 0-2
Feb 14 Al-Tala… v Diyala 0-0
Jan 15 Al-Tala… v Erbil 2-1
Dec 12 Al-Tala… v Diyala 0-1
Nov 02 Al-Tala… v Al Mina… 1-0
Oct 29 Al-Tala… v Newroz 1-0
Oct 24 Al-Tala… v Al-Karma 2-0
Oct 05 Al-Tala… v Al Shor… 1-0
Jul 05 Al-Tala… v Al Mina… 0-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 24, 2024 Al-Talaba 2-0 Al-Karma
Key Factors
Al-Karma in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.