AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Jan 28, 2025

Naft

Home
VS
11:30

Erbil

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Naft Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Erbil Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 0.73 - 2.02
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Naft Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Erbil Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 1-2 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 1-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Naft Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Naft vs Al Zawra'a 3-1
Jan 07 Naft vs Al Minaa … 1-0
Jan 02 Naft vs Al Zawra'a 0-0
Dec 08 Naft vs Al Quwa A… 0-1
Dec 01 Naft vs Diyala 0-0
Oct 06 Naft vs Naft Mays… 0-0
Sep 21 Naft vs Al Najaf 1-1
Jul 04 Naft vs Al Zawra'a 1-3
Jun 23 Naft vs Al Quwa A… 2-0
May 12 Naft vs Erbil 0-1
Erbil Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Erbil vs Al Karkh 2-4
Jan 15 Erbil vs Al-Talaba 2-1
Nov 30 Erbil vs Naft Mays… 1-1
Oct 05 Erbil vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Sep 27 Erbil vs Duhok 0-1
Sep 20 Erbil vs Diyala 2-1
Jun 23 Erbil vs Duhok 2-1
Jun 19 Erbil vs Naft Mays… 2-0
Jun 14 Erbil vs Al-Talaba 0-0
May 26 Erbil vs Baghdad 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 12, 2024 Naft 0 - 1 Erbil Iraqi League
Oct 27, 2023 Erbil 1 - 1 Naft Iraqi League
May 07, 2023 Naft 0 - 2 Erbil Iraqi League
Dec 05, 2022 Erbil 2 - 0 Naft Iraqi League
May 04, 2022 Naft 2 - 0 Erbil Iraqi League
Nov 26, 2021 Erbil 0 - 0 Naft Iraqi League
May 17, 2021 Erbil 2 - 1 Naft Iraqi League
Jan 02, 2021 Naft 1 - 1 Erbil Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Naft Power 0
Erbil Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Naft Position

-9

Position Gap

3

Erbil Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.