Iraqi League · May 12, 2024 13:00

Naft
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Erbil
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Naft Form DLLWL
STABLE
Erbil Form DLDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS30%
Under 2.560%
Naft Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Erbil Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Naft
vs
0.44
Erbil
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Naft
-9
Gap
#3
Erbil
WR 50% 21 pts WR 38% 35 pts
Naft 6.0%
May 09 Naft v Al Mina… 0-0
May 05 Naft v Naft Ma… 0-2
Apr 04 Naft v Al Najaf 1-0
Apr 01 Naft v Al Zawr… 3-2
Mar 04 Naft v Al Quwa… 1-4
Mar 01 Naft v Naft Ma… 0-0
Feb 24 Naft v Al Mina… 1-1
Feb 12 Naft v Al Najaf 2-1
Dec 31 Naft v Al Zawr… 1-1
Nov 11 Naft v Al Zawr… 2-2
Erbil 10.0%
May 08 Erbil v Al Karkh 0-0
May 01 Erbil v Al Zawr… 3-0
Mar 28 Erbil v Al Karkh 0-0
Mar 08 Erbil v Duhok 1-1
Feb 29 Erbil v Baghdad 4-1
Dec 31 Erbil v Naft Ma… 1-1
Dec 23 Erbil v Al Zawr… 0-1
Dec 01 Erbil v Al-Tala… 1-0
Oct 27 Erbil v Naft 1-1
Jun 25 Erbil v Al Karkh 0-0
Head-to-Head (7)
Oct 27, 2023 Erbil 1-1 Naft
May 07, 2023 Naft 0-2 Erbil
Dec 05, 2022 Erbil 2-0 Naft
May 04, 2022 Naft 2-0 Erbil
Nov 26, 2021 Erbil 0-0 Naft
May 17, 2021 Erbil 2-1 Naft
Jan 02, 2021 Naft 1-1 Erbil
Key Factors
Naft struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.