Iraqi League · May 12, 2024 13:00

Naft
PWR 35

Erbil
PWR 35

Naft
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Erbil
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (11%)
0-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Naft Form
DLLWL
STABLE
Erbil Form
DLDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS30%
Under 2.560%
Naft Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Erbil Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Naftvs
0.44
ErbilDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Naft-9
Gap#3
Erbil
WR 50% 21 pts
WR 38% 35 pts
Naft
6.0%
| May 09 | Naft v Al Mina… | 0-0 |
| May 05 | Naft v Naft Ma… | 0-2 |
| Apr 04 | Naft v Al Najaf | 1-0 |
| Apr 01 | Naft v Al Zawr… | 3-2 |
| Mar 04 | Naft v Al Quwa… | 1-4 |
| Mar 01 | Naft v Naft Ma… | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Naft v Al Mina… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Naft v Al Najaf | 2-1 |
| Dec 31 | Naft v Al Zawr… | 1-1 |
| Nov 11 | Naft v Al Zawr… | 2-2 |
Erbil
10.0%
| May 08 | Erbil v Al Karkh | 0-0 |
| May 01 | Erbil v Al Zawr… | 3-0 |
| Mar 28 | Erbil v Al Karkh | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Erbil v Duhok | 1-1 |
| Feb 29 | Erbil v Baghdad | 4-1 |
| Dec 31 | Erbil v Naft Ma… | 1-1 |
| Dec 23 | Erbil v Al Zawr… | 0-1 |
| Dec 01 | Erbil v Al-Tala… | 1-0 |
| Oct 27 | Erbil v Naft | 1-1 |
| Jun 25 | Erbil v Al Karkh | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Oct 27, 2023 | Erbil | 1-1 | Naft |
| May 07, 2023 | Naft | 0-2 | Erbil |
| Dec 05, 2022 | Erbil | 2-0 | Naft |
| May 04, 2022 | Naft | 2-0 | Erbil |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Erbil | 0-0 | Naft |
| May 17, 2021 | Erbil | 2-1 | Naft |
| Jan 02, 2021 | Naft | 1-1 | Erbil |
Key Factors
Naft struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.