Predictions Match Details
Iraqi League · Dec 05, 2022 11:30

Erbil
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Naft
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
Erbil Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Erbil Form DLWDL
STABLE
Naft Form DLDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS19%
Under 2.575%
Erbil Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Naft Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Erbil
vs
0.29
Naft
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings78%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Erbil
+9
Gap
#12
Naft
WR 78% 35 pts WR 11% 21 pts
Erbil 8.0%
Oct 30 Erbil v Duhok 0-0
Oct 20 Erbil v Naft Ma… 2-1
Jul 03 Erbil v Al Karkh 2-1
Jun 18 Erbil v Naft Ma… 1-1
May 04 Erbil v Naft 2-0
Apr 16 Erbil v Al Zawr… 1-0
Mar 09 Erbil v Al-Tala… 1-0
Feb 15 Erbil v Baghdad 1-1
Jan 15 Erbil v Al Karkh 0-0
Jan 05 Erbil v Naft Ma… 2-0
Naft 10.0%
Nov 25 Naft v Al Zawr… 2-2
Oct 10 Naft v Naft Ma… 1-0
Jun 08 Naft v Al Quwa… 0-0
May 28 Naft v Al Zawr… 2-2
May 04 Naft v Erbil 2-0
Apr 28 Naft v Al Zawr… 0-1
Apr 04 Naft v Al Najaf 1-2
Feb 24 Naft v Al Mina… 4-1
Feb 08 Naft v Naft Ma… 1-1
Jan 01 Naft v Al Quwa… 0-1
Head-to-Head (4)
May 04, 2022 Naft 2-0 Erbil
Nov 26, 2021 Erbil 0-0 Naft
May 17, 2021 Erbil 2-1 Naft
Jan 02, 2021 Naft 1-1 Erbil
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.