Iraqi League · May 04, 2022 11:15

Naft
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Erbil
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Naft Form WLWDW
STABLE
Erbil Form WLDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS19%
Under 2.577%
Naft Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Erbil Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Naft
vs
0.29
Erbil
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Naft
-9
Gap
#3
Erbil
WR 50% 21 pts WR 38% 35 pts
Naft 14.0%
Apr 28 Naft v Al Zawr… 0-1
Apr 04 Naft v Al Najaf 1-2
Feb 24 Naft v Al Mina… 4-1
Feb 08 Naft v Naft Ma… 1-1
Jan 01 Naft v Al Quwa… 0-1
Dec 22 Naft v Al Zawr… 1-2
Nov 26 Naft v Erbil 0-0
Nov 20 Naft v Al Zawr… 0-1
Oct 31 Naft v Al Najaf 0-1
Oct 16 Naft v Al Mina… 0-0
Erbil 12.0%
Apr 16 Erbil v Al Zawr… 1-0
Mar 09 Erbil v Al-Tala… 1-0
Feb 15 Erbil v Baghdad 1-1
Jan 15 Erbil v Al Karkh 0-0
Jan 05 Erbil v Naft Ma… 2-0
Nov 26 Erbil v Naft 0-0
Nov 04 Erbil v Al Zawr… 1-0
Oct 26 Erbil v Al-Tala… 2-1
Sep 26 Erbil v Baghdad 1-2
Jul 26 Erbil v Al Zawr… 1-3
Head-to-Head (3)
Nov 26, 2021 Erbil 0-0 Naft
May 17, 2021 Erbil 2-1 Naft
Jan 02, 2021 Naft 1-1 Erbil
Key Factors
Naft in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.