Iraqi League · May 04, 2022 11:15

Naft
PWR 35

Erbil
PWR 35

Naft
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Erbil
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%)
0-0 (19%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Naft Form
WLWDW
STABLE
Erbil Form
WLDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS19%
Under 2.577%
Naft Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Erbil Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Naftvs
0.29
ErbilDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Naft-9
Gap#3
Erbil
WR 50% 21 pts
WR 38% 35 pts
Naft
14.0%
| Apr 28 | Naft v Al Zawr… | 0-1 |
| Apr 04 | Naft v Al Najaf | 1-2 |
| Feb 24 | Naft v Al Mina… | 4-1 |
| Feb 08 | Naft v Naft Ma… | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Naft v Al Quwa… | 0-1 |
| Dec 22 | Naft v Al Zawr… | 1-2 |
| Nov 26 | Naft v Erbil | 0-0 |
| Nov 20 | Naft v Al Zawr… | 0-1 |
| Oct 31 | Naft v Al Najaf | 0-1 |
| Oct 16 | Naft v Al Mina… | 0-0 |
Erbil
12.0%
| Apr 16 | Erbil v Al Zawr… | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Erbil v Al-Tala… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Erbil v Baghdad | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Erbil v Al Karkh | 0-0 |
| Jan 05 | Erbil v Naft Ma… | 2-0 |
| Nov 26 | Erbil v Naft | 0-0 |
| Nov 04 | Erbil v Al Zawr… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Erbil v Al-Tala… | 2-1 |
| Sep 26 | Erbil v Baghdad | 1-2 |
| Jul 26 | Erbil v Al Zawr… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 26, 2021 | Erbil | 0-0 | Naft |
| May 17, 2021 | Erbil | 2-1 | Naft |
| Jan 02, 2021 | Naft | 1-1 | Erbil |
Key Factors
Naft in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.