Predictions Match Details
Iraqi League · May 17, 2021 16:00

Erbil
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Naft
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
Erbil Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Erbil Form LWDLW
STABLE
Naft Form WDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS53%
Under 2.540%
Erbil Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Naft Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Erbil
vs
0.88
Naft
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings78%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Erbil
+9
Gap
#12
Naft
WR 78% 35 pts WR 11% 21 pts
Erbil 10.0%
Apr 17 Erbil v Al Karkh 0-1
Apr 08 Erbil v Naft Ma… 2-3
Feb 24 Erbil v Baghdad 2-2
Feb 13 Erbil v Al Zawr… 2-1
Jan 07 Erbil v Al-Tala… 5-0
Jan 02 Erbil v Naft 1-1
Dec 17 Erbil v Al Karkh 2-0
Dec 13 Erbil v Naft Ma… 0-1
Oct 26 Erbil v Baghdad 0-2
Naft 14.0%
Apr 16 Naft v Al Najaf 1-0
Feb 28 Naft v Al Zawr… 0-0
Feb 10 Naft v Al Zawr… 0-1
Jan 31 Naft v Al Quwa… 4-1
Jan 16 Naft v Al Mina… 0-1
Jan 02 Naft v Erbil 1-1
Dec 23 Naft v Naft Ma… 2-3
Oct 30 Naft v Al Zawr… 1-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Jan 02, 2021 Naft 1-1 Erbil
Key Factors
Naft in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.