AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Mar 03, 2025

Al-Qasim SC

Home
VS
17:30

Al Najaf

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Al-Qasim SC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Al Najaf Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.98 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Qasim SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Al Najaf Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (31%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (15%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Al-Qasim SC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 14 Al-Qasim … vs Duhok 2-1
Feb 03 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 2-0
Jan 29 Al-Qasim … vs Newroz 1-1
Jan 18 Al-Qasim … vs Al Quwa A… 0-1
Dec 21 Al-Qasim … vs Duhok 2-0
Dec 06 Al-Qasim … vs Al Najaf 1-0
Nov 01 Al-Qasim … vs Al-Karma 1-0
Oct 28 Al-Qasim … vs Al Shorta… 2-2
Oct 05 Al-Qasim … vs Diyala 0-1
Sep 27 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 0-0
Al Najaf Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 14 Al Najaf vs Naft 0-0
Feb 04 Al Najaf vs Al Karkh 0-1
Jan 30 Al Najaf vs Zakho 1-0
Jan 25 Al Najaf vs Al Quwa A… 4-0
Jan 10 Al Najaf vs Al Shorta… 0-0
Dec 06 Al Najaf vs Al-Qasim … 1-0
Nov 30 Al Najaf vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Nov 26 Al Najaf vs Naft Mays… 4-1
Oct 06 Al Najaf vs Duhok 0-1
Sep 21 Al Najaf vs Naft 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Qasim SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2024 Al Najaf 1 - 0 Al-Qasim SC Iraqi League
Apr 15, 2024 Al-Qasim SC 1 - 2 Al Najaf Iraqi League
Dec 24, 2023 Al Najaf 1 - 0 Al-Qasim SC Iraqi League
May 05, 2023 Al Najaf 0 - 0 Al-Qasim SC Iraqi League
Dec 04, 2022 Al-Qasim SC 0 - 1 Al Najaf Iraqi League
May 04, 2022 Al Najaf 2 - 1 Al-Qasim SC Iraqi League
Nov 25, 2021 Al-Qasim SC 1 - 0 Al Najaf Iraqi League
Jul 26, 2021 Al Najaf 1 - 0 Al-Qasim SC Iraqi League
Feb 13, 2021 Al-Qasim SC 1 - 1 Al Najaf Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Qasim SC to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Qasim SC Power 0
Al Najaf Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Al-Qasim SC Position

-1

Position Gap

19

Al Najaf Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.