AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League May 04, 2022

Al Najaf

Home
VS
16:00

Al-Qasim SC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Al Najaf Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Al-Qasim SC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.58 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Najaf Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Al-Qasim SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Al Najaf Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 04 Al Najaf vs Naft 1-2
Mar 09 Al Najaf vs Zakho 1-1
Jan 15 Al Najaf vs Al Zawra'a 2-2
Jan 10 Al Najaf vs Al Shorta… 1-0
Dec 26 Al Najaf vs Al Karkh 1-1
Dec 17 Al Najaf vs Naft Mays… 0-2
Nov 25 Al Najaf vs Al-Qasim … 1-0
Nov 16 Al Najaf vs Al Quwa A… 1-0
Oct 31 Al Najaf vs Naft 0-1
Oct 26 Al Najaf vs Zakho 0-1
Al-Qasim SC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Al-Qasim … vs Al Shorta… 0-3
Feb 20 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 0-0
Feb 09 Al-Qasim … vs Al Quwa A… 1-1
Dec 21 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 1-0
Nov 25 Al-Qasim … vs Al Najaf 1-0
Nov 20 Al-Qasim … vs Al Shorta… 0-0
Oct 01 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 3-0
Sep 21 Al-Qasim … vs Al Quwa A… 1-0
Jul 26 Al-Qasim … vs Al Najaf 1-0
May 16 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 25, 2021 Al-Qasim SC 1 - 0 Al Najaf Iraqi League
Jul 26, 2021 Al Najaf 1 - 0 Al-Qasim SC Iraqi League
Feb 13, 2021 Al-Qasim SC 1 - 1 Al Najaf Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Najaf to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Najaf Power 0
Al-Qasim SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Al Najaf Position

+1

Position Gap

20

Al-Qasim SC Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.