AI Match Insights

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Iraqi League Jul 26, 2021

Al Najaf

Home
VS
14:00

Al-Qasim SC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Al Najaf Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Al-Qasim SC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.74 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.6
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Najaf Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Al-Qasim SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Al Najaf Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Al Najaf vs Zakho 0-1
Jul 05 Al Najaf vs Al Zawra'a 2-0
May 12 Al Najaf vs Al Quwa A… 3-4
Apr 16 Al Najaf vs Naft 1-0
Apr 08 Al Najaf vs Al Shorta… 3-1
Mar 21 Al Najaf vs Al Karkh 2-2
Mar 16 Al Najaf vs Naft Mays… 1-2
Feb 13 Al Najaf vs Al-Qasim … 1-1
Jan 31 Al Najaf vs Al Zawra'a 0-1
Jan 11 Al Najaf vs Al Karkh 1-2
Al-Qasim SC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 2-0
Apr 17 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Apr 02 Al-Qasim … vs Al Quwa A… 1-2
Mar 11 Al-Qasim … vs Al Shorta… 0-2
Feb 13 Al-Qasim … vs Al Najaf 1-1
Dec 08 Al-Qasim … vs Al Quwa A… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Najaf in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Al-Qasim SC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 13, 2021 Al-Qasim SC 1 - 1 Al Najaf Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Najaf to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Najaf Power 0
Al-Qasim SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Al Najaf Position

+1

Position Gap

20

Al-Qasim SC Position
Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.