AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Feb 09, 2026

Jalapa

Home
VS
01:00

UNAN Managua

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Jalapa Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
UNAN Managua Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jalapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
UNAN Managua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Jalapa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Jalapa vs H&H Export 0-0
Feb 01 Jalapa vs Real Este… 2-2
Jan 24 Jalapa vs Diriangén 2-1
Jan 17 Jalapa vs Managua FC 2-0
Nov 16 Jalapa vs Walter Fe… 3-1
Nov 06 Jalapa vs Rancho Sa… 4-0
Nov 01 Jalapa vs Real Madr… 1-2
Oct 26 Jalapa vs Matagalpa 3-0
Oct 23 Jalapa vs UNAN Mana… 5-0
Oct 19 Jalapa vs Real Este… 1-1
UNAN Managua Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 UNAN Mana… vs Matagalpa 0-0
Jan 31 UNAN Mana… vs Diriangén 3-1
Jan 26 UNAN Mana… vs H&H Export 1-0
Jan 19 UNAN Mana… vs Walter Fe… 0-0
Nov 23 UNAN Mana… vs H&H Export 3-1
Nov 05 UNAN Mana… vs Managua FC 0-3
Nov 01 UNAN Mana… vs Rancho Sa… 2-1
Oct 26 UNAN Mana… vs Real Madr… 2-1
Oct 23 UNAN Mana… vs Jalapa 5-0
Oct 20 UNAN Mana… vs Diriangén 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2025 Jalapa 5 - 0 UNAN Managua Primera Divisi…
Aug 09, 2025 UNAN Managua 5 - 1 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Jalapa to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Jalapa Power 0
UNAN Managua Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Jalapa Position

+3

Position Gap

9

UNAN Managua Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.