AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Mar 07, 2026

Figueirense

Home
VS
18:00

Carlos Renaux

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Figueirense Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Carlos Renaux Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.16 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Carlos Renaux Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Figueirense Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Figueiren… vs Carlos Re… 1-0
Jan 25 Figueiren… vs Camboriú 1-1
Jan 22 Figueiren… vs Concórdia 1-0
Jan 18 Figueiren… vs Avaí 0-2
Jan 15 Figueiren… vs Brusque 2-1
Jan 10 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Jan 07 Figueiren… vs Joinville 2-3
Nov 23 Figueiren… vs Joinville 2-1
Nov 16 Figueiren… vs Joinville 1-4
Nov 09 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Carlos Renaux Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Carlos Re… vs Figueiren… 1-0
Jan 25 Carlos Re… vs Marcílio … 2-4
Jan 21 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 0-1
Jan 17 Carlos Re… vs Camboriú 1-1
Jan 15 Carlos Re… vs Avaí 1-0
Jan 11 Carlos Re… vs Brusque 1-0
Jan 08 Carlos Re… vs Concórdia 0-1
Oct 13 Carlos Re… vs Nação 1-1
Oct 05 Carlos Re… vs Blumenau 2-1
Oct 01 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Figueirense struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2026 Carlos Renaux 1 - 0 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Figueirense Power 0
Carlos Renaux Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Figueirense Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Carlos Renaux Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.