Pershaya Liga · Oct 29, 2023 13:00

FC Dnepr Mogilev
PWR 60
2 - 1
FT

MKK-Dnepr
PWR 77
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 0-2 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 1-3 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack61
Defense59
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.2
Attack100
Defense60
Goals/G3.1
Conc/G1.1
FC Dnepr Mogil… Form LLW
DOWN
MKK-Dnepr Form WDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS60%
Under 2.538%
FC Dnepr Mo… Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
MKK-Dnepr Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
FC Dnepr Mogil…
vs
2.22
MKK-Dnepr
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
FC Dnepr Mo…
+11
Gap
#15
MKK-Dnepr
WR 60% 69 pts WR 71% 32 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
FC Dnepr Mogilev352168614169
MKK-Dnepr141022441632
FC Dnepr Mogil… 6.7%
Jun 25 FC Dnep… v MKK-Dne… 5-2
Sep 20 FC Dnep… v MKK-Dne… 0-1
Jun 28 FC Dnep… v MKK-Dne… 1-5
MKK-Dnepr 16.0%
Aug 11 MKK-Dne… v Slonim 5-1
Jul 09 MKK-Dne… v Arsenal 2-2
Jun 25 MKK-Dne… v FC Dnep… 5-2
Apr 01 MKK-Dne… v Slonim 0-5
Mar 09 MKK-Dne… v Belshina 0-0
Nov 20 MKK-Dne… v Arsenal 3-1
Nov 16 MKK-Dne… v Arsenal 3-2
Aug 20 MKK-Dne… v Slonim 3-1
Apr 16 MKK-Dne… v Slonim 0-1
Sep 20 MKK-Dne… v FC Dnep… 0-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Jun 25, 2023 MKK-Dnepr 5-2 FC Dnepr Mogi…
Sep 20, 2020 FC Dnepr Mogi… 0-1 MKK-Dnepr
Jun 28, 2020 MKK-Dnepr 1-5 FC Dnepr Mogi…
Key Factors
MKK-Dnepr in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.