Paraibano · Jan 12, 2025 19:00
Botafogo
PWR 43
Nacional AM
PWR 23
Botafogo
PWR 43
4 - 2
FT
Nacional AM
PWR 23
63% H
21% D
16% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Botafogo to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%)
3-0 (12%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 63%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack37
Defense65
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack40
Defense19
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G2.3
Botafogo Form
WWWDW
UP
Nacional AM Form
LLWDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS44%
Under 2.540%
Botafogo Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Nacional AM Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Botafogovs
0.64
Nacional AMDecision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Botafogo+8
Gap#12
Nacional AM
WR 25% 25 pts
WR 8% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
| Nacional AM | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 7 |
Botafogo
18.0%
| Dec 08 | Botafogo v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Botafogo v Interna… | 0-1 |
| Nov 27 | Botafogo v Palmeir… | 1-3 |
| Nov 23 | Botafogo v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | Botafogo v Corinth… | 1-3 |
| Nov 21 | Botafogo v Atletic… | 0-0 |
| Nov 19 | Botafogo v Avaí | 1-3 |
| Nov 13 | Botafogo v Ceará | 1-4 |
| Nov 06 | Botafogo v Vasco D… | 3-0 |
| Nov 06 | Botafogo v Brusque | 0-1 |
Nacional AM
6.0%
| Mar 30 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 1-0 |
| Mar 23 | Naciona… v Jabaqua… | 3-2 |
| Mar 06 | Naciona… v Grêmio … | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 0-0 |
| Feb 19 | Naciona… v Botafogo | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Naciona… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Feb 03 | Naciona… v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Naciona… v Princes… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 19, 2024 | Botafogo | 2-0 | Nacional AM |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Nacional AM | 0-2 | Botafogo |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Botafogo | 3-0 | Nacional AM |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Nacional AM | 3-1 | Botafogo |
| May 19, 2021 | Nacional AM | 1-1 | Botafogo |
Key Factors
Botafogo in strong form (4W in last 5)
Nacional AM struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.