Paraibano · Feb 19, 2024 22:30
Botafogo
PWR 43
Nacional AM
PWR 23
Botafogo
PWR 43
2 - 0
FT
Nacional AM
PWR 23
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Botafogo to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
0-0 (16%)
2-0 (16%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskConfidence 72.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack37
Defense65
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack40
Defense19
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G2.3
Botafogo Form
LWDDD
STABLE
Nacional AM Form
LLDDD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS26%
Under 2.573%
Botafogo Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Nacional AM Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Botafogovs
0.43
Nacional AMDecision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Botafogo+8
Gap#12
Nacional AM
WR 25% 25 pts
WR 8% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
| Nacional AM | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 7 |
Botafogo
10.0%
| Feb 18 | Botafogo v Vasco D… | 2-4 |
| Feb 14 | Botafogo v Volta R… | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Botafogo v Flumine… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Botafogo v Portugu… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Botafogo v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Botafogo v Bangu | 2-0 |
| Jan 07 | Botafogo v Oeste | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Botafogo v Interna… | 3-1 |
| Dec 03 | Botafogo v Cruzeiro | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Botafogo v Corinth… | 1-1 |
Nacional AM
6.0%
| Feb 17 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Naciona… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Feb 03 | Naciona… v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Naciona… v Princes… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 0-0 |
| Apr 01 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 0-0 |
| Mar 25 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 0-1 |
| Mar 12 | Naciona… v Botafogo | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Mar 12, 2023 | Nacional AM | 0-2 | Botafogo |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Botafogo | 3-0 | Nacional AM |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Nacional AM | 3-1 | Botafogo |
| May 19, 2021 | Nacional AM | 1-1 | Botafogo |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.