Paraibano · Mar 12, 2023 19:00
Nacional AM
PWR 23
Botafogo
PWR 43
Nacional AM
PWR 23
0 - 2
FT
Botafogo
PWR 43
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Botafogo to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack40
Defense19
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G2.3
Attack37
Defense65
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Nacional AM Form
DDLWL
STABLE
Botafogo Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS52%
Under 2.541%
Nacional AM Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Botafogo Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Nacional AMvs
0.85
BotafogoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Nacional AM-8
Gap#4
Botafogo
WR 8% 7 pts
WR 25% 25 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional AM | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 7 |
| Botafogo | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
Nacional AM
8.0%
| Feb 25 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Naciona… v Princes… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Naciona… v Corinth… | 1-2 |
| Apr 26 | Naciona… v Botafogo | 3-0 |
| Apr 20 | Naciona… v Botafogo | 3-1 |
| Feb 19 | Naciona… v Princes… | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 2-0 |
| May 19 | Naciona… v Botafogo | 1-1 |
Botafogo
12.0%
| Mar 09 | Botafogo v Portugu… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Botafogo v Bangu | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | Botafogo v Flumine… | 0-1 |
| Jan 20 | Botafogo v Palmeir… | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Botafogo v Volta R… | 1-2 |
| Jan 15 | Botafogo v Flumine… | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Botafogo v Sousa | 1-1 |
| Jan 07 | Botafogo v Velo Cl… | 2-2 |
| Oct 23 | Botafogo v Flumine… | 2-2 |
| Oct 03 | Botafogo v Palmeir… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Apr 26, 2022 | Botafogo | 3-0 | Nacional AM |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Nacional AM | 3-1 | Botafogo |
| May 19, 2021 | Nacional AM | 1-1 | Botafogo |
Key Factors
Botafogo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.