Paraibano · Apr 26, 2022 23:15
Botafogo
PWR 43
Nacional AM
PWR 23
Botafogo
PWR 43
3 - 0
FT
Nacional AM
PWR 23
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Botafogo to win (78% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
78%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
3-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskConfidence 72.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack37
Defense65
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack40
Defense19
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G2.3
Botafogo Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Nacional AM Form
WDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS43%
Under 2.537%
Botafogo Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Nacional AM Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.30
Botafogovs
0.59
Nacional AMDecision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Botafogo+8
Gap#12
Nacional AM
WR 25% 25 pts
WR 8% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
| Nacional AM | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 7 |
Botafogo
8.0%
| Apr 20 | Botafogo v Naciona… | 3-1 |
| Apr 10 | Botafogo v Corinth… | 1-3 |
| Apr 03 | Botafogo v Sousa | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Botafogo v Novoriz… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Botafogo v Volta R… | 5-0 |
| Mar 06 | Botafogo v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Botafogo v RB Brag… | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Botafogo v Portugu… | 5-3 |
| Jan 30 | Botafogo v Bangu | 2-0 |
| Nov 03 | Botafogo v Confian… | 1-0 |
Nacional AM
16.0%
| Apr 20 | Naciona… v Botafogo | 3-1 |
| Feb 19 | Naciona… v Princes… | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 2-0 |
| May 19 | Naciona… v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Naciona… v Atlétic… | 2-2 |
| Apr 01 | Naciona… v Princes… | 1-1 |
| Mar 18 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Apr 20, 2022 | Nacional AM | 3-1 | Botafogo |
| May 19, 2021 | Nacional AM | 1-1 | Botafogo |
Key Factors
Nacional AM in strong form (3W in last 5)
Botafogo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.