AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Oct 20, 2024

Macarthur FC

Home
VS
05:00

Perth Glory

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Macarthur FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Perth Glory Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.13 - 1.69
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Perth Glory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Macarthur FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Aug 25 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 3-4
May 04 Macarthur… vs Sydney 4-0
Apr 27 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 3-0
Apr 20 Macarthur… vs Sydney 1-0
Apr 12 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Apr 06 Macarthur… vs Western U… 4-2
Apr 01 Macarthur… vs Western S… 1-3
Mar 16 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Mar 10 Macarthur… vs Central C… 0-3
Perth Glory Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 5-4
Jul 23 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 2-4
Apr 28 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 7-1
Apr 21 Perth Glo… vs Western U… 3-4
Apr 14 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 8-0
Apr 07 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 2-4
Apr 03 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 1-1
Mar 31 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Mar 16 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-2
Mar 09 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Macarthur FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Perth Glory struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2024 Macarthur FC 2 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Dec 23, 2023 Perth Glory 3 - 2 Macarthur FC A-League
Jul 18, 2023 Perth Glory 0 - 4 Macarthur FC Australia Cup
Apr 01, 2023 Perth Glory 2 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Dec 18, 2022 Macarthur FC 1 - 0 Perth Glory A-League
Apr 03, 2022 Macarthur FC 4 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Feb 23, 2022 Perth Glory 0 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Macarthur FC to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Macarthur FC Power 0
Perth Glory Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Macarthur FC Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Perth Glory Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.