A-League · Apr 03, 2022 08:20
Perth Glory
PWR 35
Macarthur FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
4 - 2
FT
Perth Glory
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Macarthur FC to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (10%)
0-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Macarthur FC Form
DLLLL
STABLE
Perth Glory Form
LDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS32%
Under 2.560%
Macarthur FC Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Perth Glory Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Macarthur FCvs
0.48
Perth GloryDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Macarthur FC+5
Gap#9
Perth Glory
WR 33% 25 pts
WR 43% 20 pts
Macarthur FC
2.0%
| Mar 30 | Macarth… v Sydney | 2-2 |
| Mar 26 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 0-1 |
| Mar 19 | Macarth… v Central… | 4-2 |
| Mar 09 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 3-1 |
| Feb 23 | Macarth… v Perth G… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Macarth… v Adelaid… | 4-1 |
| Feb 13 | Macarth… v Brisban… | 3-1 |
| Feb 10 | Macarth… v Central… | 3-3 |
| Feb 06 | Macarth… v Welling… | 3-1 |
Perth Glory
2.0%
| Mar 19 | Perth G… v Brisban… | 1-4 |
| Mar 15 | Perth G… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Perth G… v Sydney | 0-2 |
| Mar 06 | Perth G… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | Perth G… v Macarth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Perth G… v Brisban… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Perth G… v Central… | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Perth G… v Western… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Perth G… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Perth G… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 23, 2022 | Perth Glory | 0-1 | Macarthur FC |
Key Factors
Macarthur FC struggling (4L in last 5)
Perth Glory struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.