A-League · Feb 23, 2022 08:55

Perth Glory
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Macarthur FC
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Perth Glory Form WDLWL
STABLE
Macarthur FC Form WLDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS32%
Under 2.539%
Perth Glory Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Macarthur FC Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.76
Perth Glory
vs
0.40
Macarthur FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Perth Glory
-5
Gap
#4
Macarthur FC
WR 33% 20 pts WR 38% 25 pts
Perth Glory 10.0%
Feb 20 Perth G… v Brisban… 2-0
Feb 13 Perth G… v Central… 1-1
Feb 02 Perth G… v Western… 1-0
Jan 22 Perth G… v Sydney 1-2
Jan 19 Perth G… v Brisban… 1-0
Nov 20 Perth G… v Adelaid… 1-1
Apr 07 Perth G… v Sydney 1-0
Macarthur FC 6.0%
Feb 19 Macarth… v Adelaid… 4-1
Feb 13 Macarth… v Brisban… 3-1
Feb 10 Macarth… v Central… 3-3
Feb 06 Macarth… v Welling… 3-1
Dec 26 Macarth… v Sydney 0-3
Jun 20 Macarth… v Melbour… 2-0
May 14 Macarth… v Melbour… 3-1
Apr 24 Macarth… v Melbour… 1-1
Key Factors
Macarthur FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.