AI Match Insights

Liga MX Femenil Oct 08, 2023

América Women

Home
VS
21:45

Juárez Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
América Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Juárez Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
América Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Juárez Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
América Women Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 América W… vs Atlético … 1-4
Aug 26 América W… vs Mazatlán … 1-3
Aug 09 América W… vs Tijuana W… 1-5
Jul 23 América W… vs Santos La… 6-0
Jul 15 América W… vs Pumas UNA… 2-5
May 22 América W… vs Juárez Wo… 5-1
May 20 América W… vs Juárez Wo… 1-3
May 05 América W… vs Mazatlán … 6-1
Apr 15 América W… vs Pumas UNA… 1-1
Apr 03 América W… vs Juárez Wo… 3-3
Juárez Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Juárez Wo… vs León Women 1-0
Sep 18 Juárez Wo… vs Mazatlán … 0-1
Aug 13 Juárez Wo… vs Toluca Wo… 1-1
Aug 05 Juárez Wo… vs Cruz Azul… 1-0
Jul 18 Juárez Wo… vs Atlético … 1-1
May 22 Juárez Wo… vs América W… 5-1
May 20 Juárez Wo… vs América W… 1-3
Apr 24 Juárez Wo… vs Toluca Wo… 1-1
Apr 03 Juárez Wo… vs América W… 3-3
Mar 25 Juárez Wo… vs Cruz Azul… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • América Women in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Juárez Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 22, 2023 América Women 5 - 1 Juárez Women Liga MX Femenil
May 20, 2023 Juárez Women 1 - 3 América Women Liga MX Femenil
Apr 03, 2023 Juárez Women 3 - 3 América Women Liga MX Femenil
Final Verdict

STANDARD: América Women to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
América Women Power 0
Juárez Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

América Women Position

+8

Position Gap

10

Juárez Women Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.