La Liga · Sep 01, 2024 15:00

Osasuna
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT

Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 9%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Attack40
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Osasuna Form LLWWD
DOWN
Celta de Vigo Form WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS21%
Under 2.579%
Osasuna Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Celta de Vi… Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Osasuna
vs
0.36
Celta de Vigo
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Osasuna
-2
Gap
#7
Celta de Vi…
WR 55% 29 pts WR 46% 33 pts
Osasuna 10.0%
Aug 29 Osasuna v Girona 4-0
Aug 29 Osasuna v Girona 4-0
Aug 24 Osasuna v Mallorca 1-0
Aug 24 Osasuna v Mallorca 1-0
Aug 17 Osasuna v Levante 1-1
Aug 10 Osasuna v Alavés 1-2
Aug 03 Osasuna v Athleti… 2-1
Jul 31 Osasuna v Real So… 1-2
Jul 27 Osasuna v Huesca 2-1
Jul 24 Osasuna v Huesca 0-0
Celta de Vigo 18.0%
Aug 23 Celta d… v Valencia 3-1
Aug 16 Celta d… v Alavés 2-1
May 26 Celta d… v Valencia 2-2
May 19 Celta d… v Granada 1-2
May 15 Celta d… v Athleti… 2-1
May 12 Celta d… v Atlétic… 1-0
May 05 Celta d… v Villarr… 3-2
Apr 27 Celta d… v Alavés 3-0
Mar 31 Celta d… v Rayo Va… 0-0
Mar 17 Celta d… v Sevilla… 1-2
Head-to-Head (7)
Feb 04, 2024 Osasuna 0-3 Celta de Vigo
Aug 13, 2023 Celta de Vigo 0-2 Osasuna
Mar 06, 2023 Osasuna 0-0 Celta de Vigo
Nov 05, 2022 Celta de Vigo 1-2 Osasuna
Jan 19, 2022 Celta de Vigo 2-0 Osasuna
Aug 23, 2021 Osasuna 0-0 Celta de Vigo
Apr 25, 2021 Celta de Vigo 2-1 Osasuna
Key Factors
Celta de Vigo in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.