La Liga · Sep 01, 2024 15:00

Osasuna
PWR 35

Celta de Vigo
PWR 38

Osasuna
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT

Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
0-0 (20%)
2-0 (16%)
1-1 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 9%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Attack40
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Osasuna Form
LLWWD
DOWN
Celta de Vigo Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS21%
Under 2.579%
Osasuna Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Celta de Vi… Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Osasunavs
0.36
Celta de VigoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Osasuna-2
Gap#7
Celta de Vi…
WR 55% 29 pts
WR 46% 33 pts
Osasuna
10.0%
| Aug 29 | Osasuna v Girona | 4-0 |
| Aug 29 | Osasuna v Girona | 4-0 |
| Aug 24 | Osasuna v Mallorca | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Osasuna v Mallorca | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Osasuna v Levante | 1-1 |
| Aug 10 | Osasuna v Alavés | 1-2 |
| Aug 03 | Osasuna v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Jul 31 | Osasuna v Real So… | 1-2 |
| Jul 27 | Osasuna v Huesca | 2-1 |
| Jul 24 | Osasuna v Huesca | 0-0 |
Celta de Vigo
18.0%
| Aug 23 | Celta d… v Valencia | 3-1 |
| Aug 16 | Celta d… v Alavés | 2-1 |
| May 26 | Celta d… v Valencia | 2-2 |
| May 19 | Celta d… v Granada | 1-2 |
| May 15 | Celta d… v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| May 12 | Celta d… v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| May 05 | Celta d… v Villarr… | 3-2 |
| Apr 27 | Celta d… v Alavés | 3-0 |
| Mar 31 | Celta d… v Rayo Va… | 0-0 |
| Mar 17 | Celta d… v Sevilla… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 04, 2024 | Osasuna | 0-3 | Celta de Vigo |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Celta de Vigo | 0-2 | Osasuna |
| Mar 06, 2023 | Osasuna | 0-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| Nov 05, 2022 | Celta de Vigo | 1-2 | Osasuna |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Celta de Vigo | 2-0 | Osasuna |
| Aug 23, 2021 | Osasuna | 0-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Celta de Vigo | 2-1 | Osasuna |
Key Factors
Celta de Vigo in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.