La Liga · Feb 04, 2024 15:15

Osasuna
PWR 35
0 - 3
FT

Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Attack40
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Osasuna Form LLDWL
DOWN
Celta de Vigo Form LLWWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS69%
Under 2.533%
Osasuna Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Celta de Vi… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Osasuna
vs
1.62
Celta de Vigo
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum63%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Osasuna
-1
Gap
#7
Celta de Vi…
WR 55% 29 pts WR 46% 33 pts
Osasuna 6.0%
Jan 31 Osasuna v FC Barc… 1-0
Jan 31 Osasuna v FC Barc… 1-0
Jan 28 Osasuna v Sevilla… 1-1
Jan 21 Osasuna v Getafe 3-2
Jan 17 Osasuna v Real So… 0-2
Jan 11 Osasuna v FC Barc… 2-0
Jan 07 Osasuna v Castell… 0-1
Jan 04 Osasuna v Algeria 1-0
Dec 21 Osasuna v Mallorca 3-2
Dec 21 Osasuna v Mallorca 3-2
Celta de Vigo 10.0%
Jan 23 Celta d… v Real So… 1-2
Jan 20 Celta d… v Real So… 0-1
Jan 17 Celta d… v Valencia 1-3
Jan 07 Celta d… v Amorebi… 2-4
Dec 11 Celta d… v Rayo Va… 0-0
Nov 25 Celta d… v Valencia 0-0
Nov 10 Celta d… v Athleti… 4-3
Nov 04 Celta d… v Sevilla… 1-1
Oct 08 Celta d… v Getafe 2-2
Sep 28 Celta d… v Alavés 1-1
Head-to-Head (6)
Aug 13, 2023 Celta de Vigo 0-2 Osasuna
Mar 06, 2023 Osasuna 0-0 Celta de Vigo
Nov 05, 2022 Celta de Vigo 1-2 Osasuna
Jan 19, 2022 Celta de Vigo 2-0 Osasuna
Aug 23, 2021 Osasuna 0-0 Celta de Vigo
Apr 25, 2021 Celta de Vigo 2-1 Osasuna
Key Factors
Osasuna struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.