La Liga · Nov 05, 2022 17:30

Celta de Vigo
PWR 38

Osasuna
PWR 35

Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
1 - 2
FT

Osasuna
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack40
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Celta de Vigo Form
DLLLD
STABLE
Osasuna Form
DLWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS62%
Under 2.532%
Celta de Vi… Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Osasuna Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Celta de Vigovs
1.10
OsasunaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings54%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Celta de Vi…+1
Gap#8
Osasuna
WR 25% 33 pts
WR 17% 29 pts
Celta de Vigo
4.0%
| Oct 24 | Celta d… v Getafe | 1-1 |
| Oct 16 | Celta d… v Real So… | 1-2 |
| Sep 17 | Celta d… v Valencia | 3-0 |
| Aug 20 | Celta d… v Real Ma… | 1-4 |
| Aug 13 | Celta d… v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| May 21 | Celta d… v Valencia | 2-0 |
| May 07 | Celta d… v Alavés | 4-0 |
| Apr 20 | Celta d… v Getafe | 0-2 |
| Apr 17 | Celta d… v Athleti… | 0-2 |
| Apr 10 | Celta d… v Espanyol | 1-0 |
Osasuna
10.0%
| Oct 23 | Osasuna v Girona | 1-1 |
| Oct 17 | Osasuna v Villarr… | 2-0 |
| Sep 04 | Osasuna v Rayo Va… | 2-1 |
| Jul 23 | Osasuna v Huesca | 4-3 |
| May 22 | Osasuna v Mallorca | 0-2 |
| Apr 10 | Osasuna v Alavés | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Osasuna v Levante | 3-1 |
| Mar 13 | Osasuna v FC Barc… | 4-0 |
| Mar 05 | Osasuna v Villarr… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Osasuna v Rayo Va… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 19, 2022 | Celta de Vigo | 2-0 | Osasuna |
| Aug 23, 2021 | Osasuna | 0-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Celta de Vigo | 2-1 | Osasuna |
Key Factors
Celta de Vigo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.