La Liga · Nov 05, 2022 17:30

Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
1 - 2
FT

Osasuna
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack40
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Celta de Vigo Form DLLLD
STABLE
Osasuna Form DLWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS62%
Under 2.532%
Celta de Vi… Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Osasuna Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Celta de Vigo
vs
1.10
Osasuna
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings54%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Celta de Vi…
+1
Gap
#8
Osasuna
WR 25% 33 pts WR 17% 29 pts
Celta de Vigo 4.0%
Oct 24 Celta d… v Getafe 1-1
Oct 16 Celta d… v Real So… 1-2
Sep 17 Celta d… v Valencia 3-0
Aug 20 Celta d… v Real Ma… 1-4
Aug 13 Celta d… v Espanyol 2-2
May 21 Celta d… v Valencia 2-0
May 07 Celta d… v Alavés 4-0
Apr 20 Celta d… v Getafe 0-2
Apr 17 Celta d… v Athleti… 0-2
Apr 10 Celta d… v Espanyol 1-0
Osasuna 10.0%
Oct 23 Osasuna v Girona 1-1
Oct 17 Osasuna v Villarr… 2-0
Sep 04 Osasuna v Rayo Va… 2-1
Jul 23 Osasuna v Huesca 4-3
May 22 Osasuna v Mallorca 0-2
Apr 10 Osasuna v Alavés 1-0
Mar 19 Osasuna v Levante 3-1
Mar 13 Osasuna v FC Barc… 4-0
Mar 05 Osasuna v Villarr… 1-0
Feb 12 Osasuna v Rayo Va… 0-3
Head-to-Head (3)
Jan 19, 2022 Celta de Vigo 2-0 Osasuna
Aug 23, 2021 Osasuna 0-0 Celta de Vigo
Apr 25, 2021 Celta de Vigo 2-1 Osasuna
Key Factors
Celta de Vigo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.