Eerste Divisie · Mar 11, 2022 19:00

Emmen
PWR 35

Utrecht
PWR 30

Emmen
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Utrecht
PWR 30
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Emmen to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack36
Defense35
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Emmen Form
LWDWW
STABLE
Utrecht Form
DWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS53%
Under 2.536%
Emmen Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Utrecht Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Emmenvs
0.84
UtrechtDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Emmen+11
Gap#17
Utrecht
WR 52% 143 pts
WR 19% 51 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | 85 | 44 | 11 | 30 | 141 | 115 | 143 |
| Utrecht | 65 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 66 | 121 | 51 |
Emmen
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Emmen v Helmond… | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Emmen v Jong AZ | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Emmen v Almere … | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Emmen v FC OSS | 3-1 |
| Jan 08 | Emmen v Den Bos… | 0-2 |
| Dec 06 | Emmen v Jong AZ | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Emmen v Almere … | 3-0 |
| Nov 22 | Emmen v Jong AZ | 0-0 |
| Oct 23 | Emmen v Roda | 1-2 |
| Oct 15 | Emmen v FC OSS | 1-2 |
Utrecht
12.0%
| Mar 05 | Utrecht v GO Ahea… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Utrecht v Heerenv… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Utrecht v Jong PSV | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | Utrecht v Dordrec… | 0-4 |
| Dec 22 | Utrecht v FC Twen… | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Utrecht v De Graa… | 0-2 |
| Dec 14 | Utrecht v NAC Bre… | 3-2 |
| Dec 11 | Utrecht v GO Ahea… | 0-0 |
| Dec 10 | Utrecht v VVV Ven… | 1-2 |
| Dec 04 | Utrecht v PSV Ein… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 01, 2021 | Utrecht | 0-1 | Emmen |
Key Factors
Emmen in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.