AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Aug 30, 2024

MVV Maastricht

Home
VS
18:00

Jong PSV

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
MVV Maastricht Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Jong PSV Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.81 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MVV Maastricht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
MVV Maastricht Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 MVV Maast… vs Den Bosch 1-1
Aug 19 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 0-0
Aug 09 MVV Maast… vs Cambuur 0-1
May 10 MVV Maast… vs VVV Venlo 2-0
May 03 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 2-3
Apr 26 MVV Maast… vs De Graafs… 3-0
Apr 20 MVV Maast… vs Willem II 1-1
Apr 12 MVV Maast… vs Emmen 1-3
Apr 05 MVV Maast… vs Helmond S… 3-0
Mar 23 MVV Maast… vs Den Bosch 1-0
Jong PSV Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Jong PSV vs Utrecht 0-2
May 10 Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… 2-3
May 03 Jong PSV vs FC OSS 4-1
Apr 28 Jong PSV vs NAC Breda 2-0
Apr 22 Jong PSV vs Utrecht 2-0
Apr 12 Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… 2-5
Mar 04 Jong PSV vs Cambuur 3-1
Feb 19 Jong PSV vs MVV Maast… 3-3
Jan 29 Jong PSV vs Willem II 1-1
Jan 19 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jong PSV in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 19, 2024 MVV Maastricht 3 - 3 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Oct 06, 2023 Jong PSV 2 - 3 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Apr 24, 2023 Jong PSV 0 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Oct 14, 2022 MVV Maastricht 1 - 1 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 25, 2022 Jong PSV 2 - 2 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Nov 26, 2021 MVV Maastricht 1 - 2 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 05, 2021 Jong PSV 3 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MVV Maastricht Power 0
Jong PSV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

MVV Maastricht Position

-15

Position Gap

3

Jong PSV Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 42%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.