Eerste Divisie · Feb 19, 2024 19:00

MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
3 - 3
FT

Jong PSV
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
MVV Maastricht Form LWWLW
STABLE
Jong PSV Form DDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS25%
Under 2.543%
MVV Maastri… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
12%
3
17%
4
19%
Jong PSV Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.42
MVV Maastricht
vs
0.29
Jong PSV
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
MVV Maastri…
-12
Gap
#4
Jong PSV
WR 42% 29 pts WR 39% 40 pts
MVV Maastricht 12.0%
Feb 12 MVV Maa… v Jong AZ 3-0
Jan 26 MVV Maa… v PSV Ein… 0-3
Jan 19 MVV Maa… v Utrecht 3-0
Jan 12 MVV Maa… v Cambuur 5-2
Dec 08 MVV Maa… v Helmond… 1-2
Dec 01 MVV Maa… v Jong AZ 4-0
Nov 26 MVV Maa… v Roda 1-0
Nov 02 MVV Maa… v Cambuur 4-1
Oct 30 MVV Maa… v Utrecht 1-1
Oct 20 MVV Maa… v Cambuur 1-1
Jong PSV 6.0%
Jan 29 Jong PSV v Willem … 1-1
Jan 19 Jong PSV v Helmond… 2-2
Dec 01 Jong PSV v Utrecht 0-0
Nov 06 Jong PSV v ADO Den… 1-2
Oct 23 Jong PSV v PSV Ein… 3-4
Oct 06 Jong PSV v MVV Maa… 2-3
Sep 29 Jong PSV v Cambuur 3-4
Aug 28 Jong PSV v Helmond… 2-1
Aug 18 Jong PSV v FC OSS 4-1
May 19 Jong PSV v PSV Ein… 1-1
Head-to-Head (6)
Oct 06, 2023 Jong PSV 2-3 MVV Maastricht
Apr 24, 2023 Jong PSV 0-1 MVV Maastricht
Oct 14, 2022 MVV Maastricht 1-1 Jong PSV
Apr 25, 2022 Jong PSV 2-2 MVV Maastricht
Nov 26, 2021 MVV Maastricht 1-2 Jong PSV
Apr 05, 2021 Jong PSV 3-1 MVV Maastricht
Key Factors
MVV Maastricht in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.