Eerste Divisie · Oct 06, 2023 18:00
Jong PSV
PWR 35
MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
Jong PSV
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT
MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Jong PSV to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Jong PSV Form
WWLDL
STABLE
MVV Maastricht Form
LLWLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS43%
Under 2.563%
Jong PSV Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
MVV Maastri… Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Jong PSVvs
0.87
MVV MaastrichtDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings84%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Jong PSV+12
Gap#16
MVV Maastri…
WR 58% 40 pts
WR 23% 29 pts
Jong PSV
10.0%
| Sep 29 | Jong PSV v Cambuur | 3-4 |
| Aug 28 | Jong PSV v Helmond… | 2-1 |
| Aug 18 | Jong PSV v FC OSS | 4-1 |
| May 19 | Jong PSV v PSV Ein… | 1-1 |
| May 12 | Jong PSV v FC OSS | 1-0 |
| Apr 24 | Jong PSV v MVV Maa… | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Jong PSV v Utrecht | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Jong PSV v Helmond… | 3-0 |
| Feb 13 | Jong PSV v ADO Den… | 1-2 |
| Feb 03 | Jong PSV v Almere … | 1-2 |
MVV Maastricht
4.0%
| Oct 02 | MVV Maa… v PSV Ein… | 0-1 |
| Sep 15 | MVV Maa… v Den Bos… | 3-2 |
| Sep 01 | MVV Maa… v Jong AZ | 2-1 |
| May 19 | MVV Maa… v Almere … | 1-0 |
| Apr 28 | MVV Maa… v Jong AZ | 1-3 |
| Apr 24 | MVV Maa… v Jong PSV | 0-1 |
| Apr 07 | MVV Maa… v Helmond… | 1-2 |
| Mar 31 | MVV Maa… v PSV Ein… | 3-2 |
| Mar 17 | MVV Maa… v Utrecht | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | MVV Maa… v Jong AZ | 4-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 24, 2023 | Jong PSV | 0-1 | MVV Maastricht |
| Oct 14, 2022 | MVV Maastricht | 1-1 | Jong PSV |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Jong PSV | 2-2 | MVV Maastricht |
| Nov 26, 2021 | MVV Maastricht | 1-2 | Jong PSV |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Jong PSV | 3-1 | MVV Maastricht |
Key Factors
MVV Maastricht struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.