Predictions Match Details
Ligue 1 · Dec 03, 2023 16:05

Lille
PWR 37
2 - 0
FT

Metz
PWR 22
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
Lille Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (3%) 3-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 9 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (9 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense55
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.5
Attack32
Defense31
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.3
Lille Form WWDWD
STABLE
Metz Form WWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS84%
Under 2.535%
Lille Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Metz Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Lille
vs
1.91
Metz
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Lille
+13
Gap
#18
Metz
WR 60% 33 pts WR 9% 13 pts
Lille 16.0%
Nov 26 Lille v Lyon 0-2
Nov 26 Lille v Lyon 0-2
Nov 04 Lille v Marseil… 0-0
Oct 01 Lille v LE Havr… 0-2
Sep 16 Lille v Rennes … 2-2
Jul 26 Lille v LE Havr… 3-2
May 20 Lille v Marseil… 2-1
Apr 22 Lille v Auxerre 1-1
Mar 10 Lille v Lyon 3-3
Feb 19 Lille v Paris S… 4-3
Metz 10.0%
Nov 26 Metz v Lorient 2-3
Nov 26 Metz v Lorient 2-3
Nov 05 Metz v Lyon 1-1
Sep 24 Metz v Strasbo… 0-1
Aug 13 Metz v Rennes … 5-1
Jan 07 Metz v Lyon 2-1
Dec 09 Metz v Auxerre 1-5
May 21 Metz v Paris S… 5-0
May 14 Metz v Angers 1-0
May 08 Metz v Lyon 3-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Feb 18, 2022 Lille 0-0 Metz
Aug 08, 2021 Metz 3-3 Lille
Apr 09, 2021 Metz 0-2 Lille
Sep 13, 2020 Lille 1-0 Metz
Key Factors
Lille in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.