Ligue 1 · Feb 18, 2022 20:00
Lille
PWR 37
Metz
PWR 22
Lille
PWR 37
0 - 0
FT
Metz
PWR 22
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
Lille Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
82%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 82%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy88%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed (5 independent rules, 82% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense55
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.5
Attack32
Defense31
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.3
Lille Form
LDWWL
STABLE
Metz Form
LDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS62%
Under 2.539%
Lille Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Metz Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Lillevs
0.99
MetzDecision Breakdown
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings90%
Market50%
League Standings
#5
Lille+13
Gap#18
Metz
WR 60% 33 pts
WR 9% 13 pts
Lille
10.0%
| Feb 06 | Lille v Paris S… | 1-5 |
| Jan 16 | Lille v Marseil… | 1-1 |
| Dec 18 | Lille v Auxerre | 3-1 |
| Dec 01 | Lille v Rennes … | 1-2 |
| Oct 29 | Lille v Paris S… | 2-1 |
| Oct 03 | Lille v Marseil… | 2-0 |
| Sep 25 | Lille v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Aug 08 | Lille v Metz | 3-3 |
| Apr 09 | Lille v Metz | 0-2 |
| Mar 03 | Lille v Marseil… | 2-0 |
Metz
6.0%
| Jan 09 | Metz v Strasbo… | 0-2 |
| Dec 22 | Metz v Lyon | 1-1 |
| Dec 12 | Metz v Lorient | 4-1 |
| Dec 01 | Metz v Montpel… | 1-3 |
| Oct 17 | Metz v Rennes … | 0-3 |
| Oct 03 | Metz v Angers | 3-2 |
| Sep 22 | Metz v Paris S… | 1-2 |
| Sep 17 | Metz v Strasbo… | 3-0 |
| Sep 03 | Metz v Auxerre | 0-3 |
| Aug 08 | Metz v Lille | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 08, 2021 | Metz | 3-3 | Lille |
| Apr 09, 2021 | Metz | 0-2 | Lille |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Lille | 1-0 | Metz |
Key Factors
Metz struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.