Ligue 1 · Apr 09, 2021 19:00
Metz
PWR 22
Lille
PWR 37
Metz
PWR 22
0 - 2
FT
Lille
PWR 37
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lille to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (24%)
0-2 (19%)
0-0 (16%)
0-3 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense31
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.3
Attack51
Defense55
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.5
Metz Form
LLLDW
DOWN
Lille Form
WDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS21%
Under 2.572%
Metz Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Lille Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.31
Metzvs
1.53
LilleDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
Metz-13
Gap#5
Lille
WR 20% 13 pts
WR 36% 33 pts
Metz
6.0%
| Mar 20 | Metz v Rennes … | 1-3 |
| Mar 03 | Metz v Angers | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Metz v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Feb 03 | Metz v Montpel… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Metz v Lyon | 0-1 |
| Dec 23 | Metz v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | Metz v Montpel… | 0-2 |
| Dec 13 | Metz v Strasbo… | 2-2 |
| Dec 06 | Metz v Lyon | 1-3 |
| Oct 18 | Metz v Angers | 1-1 |
Lille
16.0%
| Mar 03 | Lille v Marseil… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Lille v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Lille v Rennes … | 0-1 |
| Sep 13 | Lille v Metz | 1-0 |
| Aug 22 | Lille v Rennes … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 13, 2020 | Lille | 1-0 | Metz |
Key Factors
Lille in strong form (3W in last 5)
Metz struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.