Primera A · May 12, 2024 00:30
Millonarios
PWR 35
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
Millonarios
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (11%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 69%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Millonarios Form
LWWWW
STABLE
Deportivo Pasto Form
LWDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS32%
Under 2.563%
Millonarios Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Deportivo P… Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Millonariosvs
0.50
Deportivo PastoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
Millonarios-16
Gap#2
Deportivo P…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 10 pts
Millonarios
16.0%
| May 05 | Millona… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Apr 28 | Millona… v Chico | 3-0 |
| Apr 20 | Millona… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Apr 17 | Millona… v Junior | 3-2 |
| Apr 15 | Millona… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Mar 23 | Millona… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | Millona… v Envigado | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Millona… v Bucaram… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Millona… v Junior | 2-0 |
| Jan 21 | Millona… v Indepen… | 5-0 |
Deportivo Pasto
8.0%
| May 09 | Deporti… v Fortale… | 0-1 |
| Apr 28 | Deporti… v La Equi… | 0-2 |
| Apr 25 | Deporti… v Leones … | 1-1 |
| Apr 20 | Deporti… v Millona… | 1-2 |
| Apr 16 | Deporti… v Jaguares | 1-1 |
| Apr 15 | Deporti… v Millona… | 2-3 |
| Apr 06 | Deporti… v Rionegr… | 0-1 |
| Apr 01 | Deporti… v Rionegr… | 2-4 |
| Mar 30 | Deporti… v Once Ca… | 0-0 |
| Mar 05 | Deporti… v Fortale… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Apr 20, 2024 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-2 | Millonarios |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Deportivo Pas… | 2-3 | Millonarios |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Millonarios | 0-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Deportivo Pas… | 0-0 | Millonarios |
| Mar 23, 2023 | Millonarios | 2-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Deportivo Pas… | 2-3 | Millonarios |
| Nov 24, 2022 | Deportivo Pas… | 2-1 | Millonarios |
| Nov 14, 2022 | Millonarios | 2-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Jul 09, 2022 | Millonarios | 1-1 | Deportivo Pas… |
Key Factors
Millonarios in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.