AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Apr 20, 2024

Deportivo Pereira

Home
VS
21:00

Millonarios

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Deportivo Pereira Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Millonarios Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.71 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.1
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pereira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Deportivo Pereira Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
Jan 29 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-3
Nov 24 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-1
Nov 14 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-0
Millonarios Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 Millonari… vs Junior 3-2
Apr 15 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-3
Mar 17 Millonari… vs Envigado 1-1
Jan 29 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Jan 25 Millonari… vs Junior 2-0
Jan 21 Millonari… vs Independi… 5-0
Jan 19 Millonari… vs Junior 1-0
Dec 06 Millonari… vs Atlético … 0-1
Dec 04 Millonari… vs America d… 1-0
Dec 01 Millonari… vs Independi… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Millonarios in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 23, 2023 Millonarios 0 - 0 Deportivo Pereira Primera A
Jan 29, 2023 Deportivo Pereira 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 24, 2022 Deportivo Pereira 2 - 1 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pereira Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pereira to win (35% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pereira Power 0
Millonarios Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Deportivo Pereira Position

+2

Position Gap

18

Millonarios Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.