AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Division Intermedia Aug 16, 2024

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Home
VS
22:30

Deportivo Recoleta

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Deportivo Recoleta Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.52 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Deportivo Recoleta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 4-2
Jul 08 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Mar 31 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 3-1
Sep 25 Club Sp. … vs Sportivo … 3-0
Jun 19 Club Sp. … vs Sportivo … 2-0
Dec 13 Club Sp. … vs Cerro Por… 1-1
Oct 25 Club Sp. … vs Nacional … 1-1
Oct 02 Club Sp. … vs Cerro Por… 1-1
Aug 21 Club Sp. … vs Nacional … 2-0
Aug 02 Club Sp. … vs Cerro Por… 4-1
Deportivo Recoleta Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 2-0
May 11 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 4-2
Apr 19 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 2-2
Aug 29 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 1-3
Aug 11 Deportivo… vs 2 de Mayo 1-1
Jul 08 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 2-1
May 19 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 0-2
May 05 Deportivo… vs 2 de Mayo 3-7
Mar 31 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Club Sp. San Lorenzo struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 11, 2024 Deportivo Recoleta 4 - 2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo Division Inter…
Jul 08, 2023 Deportivo Recoleta 2 - 1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo Division Inter…
Mar 31, 2023 Club Sp. San Lorenzo 3 - 1 Deportivo Recoleta Division Inter…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Club Sp. San Lorenzo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Power 0
Deportivo Recoleta Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.