AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Division Intermedia May 11, 2024

Deportivo Recoleta

Home
VS
14:00

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Deportivo Recoleta Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.50 - 1.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.4
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Recoleta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Deportivo Recoleta Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 2-2
Aug 29 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 1-3
Aug 11 Deportivo… vs 2 de Mayo 1-1
Jul 08 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 2-1
May 19 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 0-2
May 05 Deportivo… vs 2 de Mayo 3-7
Mar 31 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 3-1
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 08 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Mar 31 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 3-1
Sep 25 Club Sp. … vs Sportivo … 3-0
Jun 19 Club Sp. … vs Sportivo … 2-0
Dec 13 Club Sp. … vs Cerro Por… 1-1
Oct 25 Club Sp. … vs Nacional … 1-1
Oct 02 Club Sp. … vs Cerro Por… 1-1
Aug 21 Club Sp. … vs Nacional … 2-0
Aug 02 Club Sp. … vs Cerro Por… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 08, 2023 Deportivo Recoleta 2 - 1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo Division Inter…
Mar 31, 2023 Club Sp. San Lorenzo 3 - 1 Deportivo Recoleta Division Inter…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Recoleta to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Recoleta Power 0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.