AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Mar 02, 2025

Étoile Carouge

Home
VS
15:30

FC Vaduz

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Étoile Carouge Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
FC Vaduz Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.17 - 0.83
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Étoile Carouge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
FC Vaduz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Étoile Carouge Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Étoile Ca… vs FC Basel … 1-3
Jan 31 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Lau… 1-0
Jan 24 Étoile Ca… vs FC WIL 19… 1-1
Dec 14 Étoile Ca… vs FC Vaduz 3-2
Dec 05 Étoile Ca… vs FC Aarau 0-1
Nov 30 Étoile Ca… vs FC WIL 19… 2-1
Nov 01 Étoile Ca… vs FC Aarau 2-1
Oct 25 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Lau… 1-1
Oct 04 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 3-1
Sep 27 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Lau… 5-1
FC Vaduz Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau 0-1
Feb 14 FC Vaduz vs Neuchâtel… 0-0
Feb 09 FC Vaduz vs FC WIL 19… 1-0
Feb 01 FC Vaduz vs Stade Nyo… 1-1
Dec 14 FC Vaduz vs Étoile Ca… 3-2
Dec 08 FC Vaduz vs Bellinzona 1-2
Dec 03 FC Vaduz vs Stade Nyo… 1-1
Nov 08 FC Vaduz vs Neuchâtel… 2-1
Nov 01 FC Vaduz vs Stade Lau… 2-2
Oct 27 FC Vaduz vs FC WIL 19… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Étoile Carouge struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 14, 2024 FC Vaduz 3 - 2 Étoile Carouge Challenge Leag…
Sep 24, 2024 Étoile Carouge 1 - 0 FC Vaduz Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Étoile Carouge Power 0
FC Vaduz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Étoile Carouge Position

-8

Position Gap

1

FC Vaduz Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.