AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Sep 24, 2024

Étoile Carouge

Home
VS
18:15

FC Vaduz

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Étoile Carouge Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
FC Vaduz Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 4.50 - 0.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Étoile Carouge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
FC Vaduz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Étoile Carouge Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 2-4
Aug 30 Étoile Ca… vs FC WIL 19… 3-1
Aug 24 Étoile Ca… vs FC Aarau 1-0
Jun 29 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Lau… 2-3
May 25 Étoile Ca… vs St. Galle… 5-1
May 18 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 3-1
May 11 Étoile Ca… vs Young Boy… 2-1
May 04 Étoile Ca… vs Zürich II 1-2
Apr 27 Étoile Ca… vs Luzern II 2-2
Nov 11 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 1-0
FC Vaduz Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau 2-5
Aug 30 FC Vaduz vs Neuchâtel… 4-1
Aug 25 FC Vaduz vs Stade Lau… 3-1
Aug 04 FC Vaduz vs FC WIL 19… 3-2
Jul 21 FC Vaduz vs Stade Nyo… 0-0
May 20 FC Vaduz vs Bellinzona 2-2
May 17 FC Vaduz vs FC Thun 6-3
May 11 FC Vaduz vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
May 03 FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau 2-1
Apr 27 FC Vaduz vs Baden 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Étoile Carouge in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Étoile Carouge Power 0
FC Vaduz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Étoile Carouge Position

-8

Position Gap

1

FC Vaduz Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.