AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Santa Catarina Nov 23, 2025

Figueirense

Home
VS
19:00

Joinville

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Figueirense Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Joinville Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.43 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Figueirense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Figueiren… vs Joinville 1-4
Nov 09 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Nov 02 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 3-0
Oct 26 Figueiren… vs Chapecoen… 2-0
Oct 22 Figueiren… vs Chapecoen… 2-1
Oct 12 Figueiren… vs Avaí 1-1
Oct 04 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-2
Oct 01 Figueiren… vs Barra 1-4
Sep 21 Figueiren… vs Guaraní A… 1-4
Sep 21 Figueiren… vs Barra 2-1
Joinville Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-4
Nov 09 Joinville vs Blumenau 1-0
Nov 02 Joinville vs Blumenau 1-0
Oct 27 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 2-2
Oct 21 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 0-0
Oct 13 Joinville vs Blumenau 2-0
Oct 07 Joinville vs Nação 0-1
Oct 01 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 2-0
Sep 21 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 4-2
Sep 14 Joinville vs Nação 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Figueirense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 16, 2025 Joinville 1 - 4 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 11, 2025 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Oct 05, 2024 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 24, 2024 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Aug 31, 2023 Joinville 1 - 3 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 21, 2023 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Figueirense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Figueirense Power 0
Joinville Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.