AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Santa Catarina Nov 16, 2025

Joinville

Home
VS
19:00

Figueirense

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Joinville Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Figueirense Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.91 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Joinville Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Joinville vs Blumenau 1-0
Nov 02 Joinville vs Blumenau 1-0
Oct 27 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 2-2
Oct 21 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 0-0
Oct 13 Joinville vs Blumenau 2-0
Oct 07 Joinville vs Nação 0-1
Oct 01 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 2-0
Sep 21 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 4-2
Sep 14 Joinville vs Nação 0-0
Sep 07 Joinville vs Blumenau 2-0
Figueirense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Nov 02 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 3-0
Oct 26 Figueiren… vs Chapecoen… 2-0
Oct 22 Figueiren… vs Chapecoen… 2-1
Oct 12 Figueiren… vs Avaí 1-1
Oct 04 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-2
Oct 01 Figueiren… vs Barra 1-4
Sep 21 Figueiren… vs Guaraní A… 1-4
Sep 21 Figueiren… vs Barra 2-1
Sep 15 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2025 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Oct 05, 2024 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 24, 2024 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Aug 31, 2023 Joinville 1 - 3 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 21, 2023 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Joinville to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Joinville Power 0
Figueirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.