Copa Santa Catarina · Aug 31, 2023 00:00
Joinville
PWR 44
Figueirense
PWR 58
Joinville
PWR 44
1 - 3
FT
Figueirense
PWR 58
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Joinville to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (28%)
2-0 (20%)
0-0 (19%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Attack63
Defense61
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.1
Joinville Form
DDDDD
STABLE
Figueirense Form
WLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS14%
Under 2.577%
Joinville Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Figueirense Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Joinvillevs
0.20
FigueirenseDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Joinville-2
Gap#1
Figueirense
WR 32% 24 pts
WR 47% 32 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
| Figueirense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 21 | 32 |
Joinville
10.0%
| Feb 18 | Joinvil… v Chapeco… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Joinvil… v Criciúma | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Joinvil… v Barra | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Joinvil… v Figueir… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Joinvil… v MarcĂli… | 0-0 |
| Mar 05 | Joinvil… v Barra | 1-2 |
| Feb 10 | Joinvil… v Chapeco… | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Joinvil… v MarcĂli… | 3-0 |
| Jan 23 | Joinvil… v Figueir… | 0-0 |
Figueirense
4.0%
| Jun 17 | Figueir… v Brusque | 0-1 |
| Mar 19 | Figueir… v Jataien… | 3-0 |
| Mar 12 | Figueir… v Jataien… | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | Figueir… v Brusque | 3-2 |
| Feb 26 | Figueir… v Jataien… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Figueir… v Camboriú | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Figueir… v Atlétic… | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Figueir… v Avaà | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | Figueir… v Bahia d… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jan 21, 2023 | Figueirense | 1-1 | Joinville |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Figueirense | 0-0 | Joinville |
Key Factors
Figueirense struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.