Predictions Match Details
Iraqi League · May 21, 2024 13:00

Al Minaa Basra
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT

Baghdad
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Al Minaa Basra Form DLLLL
STABLE
Baghdad Form LDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS47%
Under 2.553%
Al Minaa Ba… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Baghdad Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Al Minaa Basra
vs
0.85
Baghdad
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Al Minaa Ba…
-2
Gap
#13
Baghdad
WR 25% 18 pts WR 29% 19 pts
Al Minaa Basra 2.0%
May 09 Al Mina… v Naft 0-0
Apr 30 Al Mina… v Zakho 3-1
Apr 14 Al Mina… v Al Shor… 2-0
Apr 06 Al Mina… v Al Karkh 1-3
Mar 09 Al Mina… v Al Zawr… 1-3
Mar 05 Al Mina… v Baghdad 0-1
Feb 29 Al Mina… v Duhok 2-0
Feb 24 Al Mina… v Naft 1-1
Feb 21 Al Mina… v Zakho 0-2
Dec 09 Al Mina… v Al-Tala… 0-1
Baghdad 4.0%
May 13 Baghdad v Al Shor… 2-1
May 09 Baghdad v Zakho 0-0
Mar 09 Baghdad v Al Quwa… 1-1
Mar 05 Baghdad v Al Mina… 0-1
Feb 29 Baghdad v Erbil 4-1
Feb 16 Baghdad v Zakho 1-0
Dec 05 Baghdad v Al Shor… 1-2
Nov 03 Baghdad v Al Karkh 1-1
Jun 07 Baghdad v Al Shor… 2-0
May 28 Baghdad v Al Mina… 0-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Mar 05, 2024 Baghdad 0-1 Al Minaa Basra
May 28, 2022 Baghdad 0-1 Al Minaa Basra
Dec 21, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Baghdad
May 11, 2021 Baghdad 0-1 Al Minaa Basra
Dec 29, 2020 Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Baghdad
Key Factors
Al Minaa Basra struggling (4L in last 5)
Baghdad struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.