Gaúcho - 1 · Feb 06, 2026 19:00
Guaraní de Bagé
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Monsoon
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Guaraní de Bagé to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guaraní de Bagé Form LWLLD
STABLE
Monsoon Form DLWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS39%
Under 2.562%
Guaraní de … Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Monsoon Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Guaraní de Bagé
vs
0.69
Monsoon
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings52%
Market44%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Guaraní de …
+1
Gap
#4
Monsoon
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Guaraní de Bagé 6.0%
Jan 31 Guaraní… v Novo Ha… 2-0
Jan 24 Guaraní… v Inter S… 1-0
Jan 22 Guaraní… v Gremio 0-2
Jan 18 Guaraní… v Caxias 4-1
Jan 15 Guaraní… v Ypirang… 1-1
Jan 10 Guaraní… v Monsoon 1-1
Mar 13 Guaraní… v Athleti… 3-1
Feb 26 Guaraní… v Santos 2-1
Feb 23 Guaraní… v São Luiz 0-2
Feb 21 Guaraní… v São Luiz 0-1
Monsoon 8.0%
Jan 31 Monsoon v São Luiz 2-2
Jan 25 Monsoon v Juventu… 3-0
Jan 23 Monsoon v São José 1-2
Jan 18 Monsoon v Avenida 0-0
Jan 15 Monsoon v Interna… 0-4
Jan 10 Monsoon v Guaraní… 1-1
Feb 24 Monsoon v Ypirang… 1-1
Feb 20 Monsoon v Ypirang… 1-1
Feb 15 Monsoon v Interna… 2-0
Feb 13 Monsoon v São José 1-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Jan 10, 2026 Guaraní de Ba… 1-1 Monsoon
Feb 07, 2025 Monsoon 1-3 Guaraní de Ba…
Aug 13, 2023 Monsoon 0-0 Guaraní de Ba…
Aug 06, 2023 Guaraní de Ba… 1-0 Monsoon
Key Factors
Guaraní de Bagé struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.