Friendlies Clubs · Feb 05, 2026 14:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
PWR 86
Riga FC
PWR 63
Shakhtar Donetsk
PWR 86
0 - 1
FT
Riga FC
PWR 63
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Shakhtar Donetsk to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (4%)
2-0 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense88
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G0.3
Attack58
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Shakhtar Donet… Form
WWDDW
STABLE
Riga FC Form
DWWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS69%
Under 2.538%
Shakhtar Do… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Riga FC Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Shakhtar Donet…vs
1.19
Riga FCDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#282
Shakhtar Do…-221
Gap#61
Riga FC
WR 67% 6 pts
WR 67% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| Riga FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
Shakhtar Donet…
16.0%
| Dec 14 | Shakhta… v Epitsen… | 5-0 |
| Dec 11 | Shakhta… v Hamrun … | 0-2 |
| Dec 06 | Shakhta… v Kolos K… | 0-0 |
| Dec 01 | Shakhta… v Hirnyk | 2-2 |
| Nov 27 | Shakhta… v Shamroc… | 1-2 |
| Nov 22 | Shakhta… v Obolon … | 0-6 |
| Nov 09 | Shakhta… v Vorskla… | 7-1 |
| Nov 06 | Shakhta… v Breidab… | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Shakhta… v Dynamo … | 3-1 |
| Oct 26 | Shakhta… v Kudrivka | 4-0 |
Riga FC
10.0%
| Jan 27 | Riga FC v Pyunik … | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Riga FC v Žilina | 3-2 |
| Nov 21 | Riga FC v Bilje | 10-1 |
| Nov 14 | Riga FC v Naftan | 0-2 |
| Nov 09 | Riga FC v Bistrica | 4-3 |
| Nov 07 | Riga FC v RÄ«gas FS | 3-4 |
| Nov 02 | Riga FC v Grobiņa | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Riga FC v Tabor S… | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Riga FC v Dekani | 3-4 |
| Oct 24 | Riga FC v Tukums | 0-0 |
Key Factors
Shakhtar Donetsk in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.