AI Match Insights

Friendlies Clubs Feb 05, 2026

Makhachkala

Home
VS
08:00

Atyrau

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Makhachkala Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Atyrau Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.86 - 2.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 2.3
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Makhachkala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Atyrau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Makhachkala Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Makhachka… vs Vardar Sk… 3-0
Dec 07 Makhachka… vs Nizhny No… 0-1
Dec 01 Makhachka… vs PFC Sochi 0-0
Nov 26 Makhachka… vs CSKA Mosc… 2-1
Nov 23 Makhachka… vs Dinamo Mo… 3-0
Nov 08 Makhachka… vs CSKA Mosc… 0-1
Nov 05 Makhachka… vs CSKA Mosc… 1-0
Nov 01 Makhachka… vs Krylya So… 2-0
Oct 25 Makhachka… vs FC Porto 1-1
Oct 21 Makhachka… vs CSKA Mosc… 1-3
Atyrau Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Atyrau vs Wisla Kra… 3-1
Oct 26 Atyrau vs Yelimay S… 3-2
Oct 18 Atyrau vs Zhetysu 1-1
Sep 27 Atyrau vs Ulytau 1-5
Sep 13 Atyrau vs FK Tobol … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Makhachkala struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Makhachkala to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Makhachkala Power 0
Atyrau Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.